NFL

Packers turn to Jordan Love at QB with Rodgers in COVID Protocol

It’s was going to be tough for Green Bay to go into Arrowhead Stadium and get a win regardless, but now the Packers will try to beat the Chiefs without QB Aaron Rodgers, who had a positive COVID test and must sit out for ten days.

Then again, Kansas City has had their share of struggles this season, so it might be the perfect opportunity for Packers QB Jordan Love to pick up his first NFL win.

BETTING ANALYSIS FOR PACKERS AT CHIEFS

GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING STATS & ANALYSIS

Throw all of Green Bay’s offensive stats and trends out the window on Sunday because that came with Rodgers at the helm. Somewhat surprisingly, though, the Packers aren’t really near the top of the NFL Odds in the major offensive categories. They rank just 22nd in total yards (337.5), 23rd in passing (229.4), 17th in the run (108.1), and 17th in scoring (24.0).

Make no mistake; the Packers probably don’t hand Arizona their first loss of the season last Thursday if Rodgers isn’t under center even though his numbers weren’t great (22/37, 184 yards, 2 TD). What coach Matt LaFleur should do is stick with the running game that had 151 yards on 34 attempts vs. a good Cardinals defense.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS BETTING STATS & ANALYSIS

The Chiefs escaped with a win on Monday night, but like most of their games this season, it wasn’t pretty. Kansas City beat the Giants 20-17 in Arrowhead but as -10.5 betting favorites. Either way, Andy Reid will take the win, as it was a much better result than the 27-3 drubbing at Tennessee the week prior.

The Chiefs’ offense still has some hiccups, as evidenced by their 23 total points scored in the last two games. Patrick Mahomes threw another INT on Monday, his seventh straight game with a pick. At this point, Reid is just happy when Mahomes only has one turnover.

GREEN BAY PACKERS at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS NFL BETTING TRENDS

Once again, the Green Bay trends coming into this game don’t mean a whole lot if they aren’t playing with Rodgers at QB. It is a great opportunity for the Packers to show they aren’t a one-man team, though, and to build on that record of 7 straight wins ATS including four straight wins against the number on the road.

The Chiefs, meanwhile, have failed to cover in four straight home games, and they are 2-12 ATS their last 14 following a SU win.

GREEN BAY PACKERS at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS BETTING ODDS

There’s been a ton of line movement in this game – as expected – after the news of Rodgers going into quarantine, COVID protocols were announced. The Chiefs opened as -2.5 favorites but immediately jumped to -7 at BetUS and -7.5 at MyBookie midweek when it was announced Jordan Love would start for Green Bay.

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HOW TO BET ON: Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs – BETTING LINES

There is some value on Green Bay getting a TD because they have two solid RBs in Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon, which will take a lot of the pressure off of Love. It also doesn’t hurt that the Chiefs have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, allowing 391.5 yards/game.

Another thing to remember is that Rodgers doesn’t play LB or DE, so Green Bay’s defense won’t take a direct hit in his absence. The Packers are 7th in total yards allowed and 6th vs. the pass, which isn’t good for a KC offense that was held scoreless in the 1st half for the first time in 80+ games in their loss to Tennessee.

OBS BETTING PICKS for GREEN BAY PACKERS at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS NFL

Mahomes has the potential to be great every week, but that’s nothing new for the Packers, who held Kyler Murray to 274 yards passing with 0 TD and 2 INT last week. Expect an inspired performance from Green Bay playing without their leader and take the Packers +7

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