LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks – NCAAB Betting Analysis, Odds & Picks
No. 14 Arkansas (23-6 overall, 12-4 SEC) may be wishing coach Eric Musselman gets surgery more often. The Razorbacks coach had surgery following Arkansas’ 87-43 win over Missouri Jan. 12 at home. Since then, Arkansas has supercharged its season, reeling off 13 wins in 14 games, and are currently riding a four-game winning streak.
LSU (20-9, 8-8) has been horrible away from home this season. The Tigers are 2-7 in true road games this season and have dropped two consecutive road games in SEC play. LSU, which has lost two of its past three games, is hoping to avoid a worse slide before the conference tournament starts next week.
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Betting Analysis for LSU at Arkansas
LSU Betting Stats & Analysis
LSU has built its success this season by being a brutally tough, defensive team. The Tigers rank 23rd nationally by allowing 61.9 points per game.
How LSU’s opponents are forced to attack them has led to teams looking for more questions than they find answers. The Tigers are in the top 10 nationally in field goal percentage defense and 3-point percentage defense, limiting opponents to 38.3 and 27.9 percent shooting, respectively.
LSU leads the SEC in turnovers forced, creating 18.03 turnovers per game. The Tigers also led the conference in total steals with 321 and are second in the conference in field goal percentage defense. Eric Gaines leads the SEC with 64 steals.
LSU is led in scoring by Tair Eason, who averages 16.5 points per game. Eason has provided most of his spark off the bench, only starting four of 28 games this season. The Tigers have a diverse offense with four players averaging in double figures scoring.
In the first meeting between the two teams, the Tigers blew an eight-point lead with less than 10 minutes left and lost by seven. LSU is still jockeying for position in the SEC as the Tigers are in a four-way tie for sixth place with Florida, South Carolina, and Mississippi State.
Arkansas Betting Stats & Analysis
After a slow start in SEC play, Arkansas’s recent run of success has vaulted the Razorbacks into the top four in conference play. The Razorbacks’ most recent of the streak was a two-point road victory over Kentucky.
JD Notae has been playing well recently for Arkansas, earning SEC Player of the Week honors by averaging 26.0 points, 5.5 assists, and 3.5 rebounds per game in victories over Florida and Kentucky.
The Razorbacks, who average 77.4 points per game, rank fourth in the SEC in scoring. Notae leads Arkansas by making 63 3-pointers and contributes 19.1 points per game. Stanley Umude (11.2 points per game), Jaylin Williams (10.6), and Au’Diese Toney (10.1) also score in double figures for the Razorbacks.
The biggest reason for Arkansas’ turnaround over the past 14 games have been a stark improvement in defensive play. The Razorbacks, who allowed 71.9 points per game over their first 14 games, have cut that average down to 62.9 during the streak.
In addition, Arkansas has only allowed its opponents to shoot 26.6 percent from the perimeter over the last 14 games. In the Razorbacks’ first 14 games, opponents shot 36.6 percent from outside.
Arkansas ranks fourth in the SEC in turnover margin, forcing 2.36 more turnovers than it commits. Arkansas has been strong on the glass this season, outrebounding their opponents by an average of 4.3 rebounds per game. The Razorbacks lead the all-time series 39-34, including a 21-8 record in Fayetteville.
LSU at Arkansas NCAAB Betting Trends
LSU Tigers:
- LSU is 18-11 against the spread.
- The Tigers are 3-1 over their past four games against the spread.
- The Tigers have seen the over go 10-19 against the total in their games.
- LSU is 3-2 against the spread against ranked opponents.
- The Tigers are 5-5 against the spread on the road.
Arkansas Razorbacks:
- The Razorbacks are 18-11 against the spread.
- The total has gone over in 16 of Arkansas’ 29 games.
- Arkansas is 9-0-1 against the spread over its past ten games.
- The Razorbacks have seen their last two games go over the total.
- Arkansas is 10-7 against the spread at home this season.
LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAB Betting Odds
MyBookie has Arkansas -5.5.
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How To Bet On: LSU at Arkansas – Betting Lines (Spread, totals, moneyline) Betting Example
Arkansas is one of the hottest teams in college basketball and is starting to show off what allowed the Razorbacks to reach the Elite 8 of last year’s NCAA Tournament. The Razorbacks have found their rhythm on defense and have a fluid offensive attack. Arkansas will be looking to continue to collect wins to build its NCAA resume.
LSU can’t afford many more losses. The Tigers have been bad on the road this season and will need to lean heavily on their defense to jam up Arkansas.
The Razorbacks are 13-2 at home this season. Arkansas also beat LSU earlier this season by seven points earlier this season.
While the Razorbacks have already clinched a double bye in the SEC tournament, Arkansas still has something to play for. The Razorbacks are a game behind first place for the regular-season conference title and could win the crown with some help.
OBS Betting Picks for LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAB
Bet on Arkansas to find a way to break down LSU’s defense and cover the spread.
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