Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Analysis, Picks
The Milwaukee Bucks (11-8) travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets (9-9) at Ball Arena in Denver, CO. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 PM EST.
Despite both teams performing below expectations so far in 2021, the Bucks have bounced back from a rough start to the season and now find themselves three games above .500. Denver has been decimated by injuries which has placed much of the burden on star Nikola Jokic.
While neither of these teams have been as good as advertised before the beginning of the year, the Bucks currently sit in sixth place in the East while the Nuggets are tied for the seventh slot in the West.
We will see which superstar can lead their side to victory as Nikola Jokic faces off against Giannis Antetokoumpo.
One important note is Jokic is listed as questionable for the game. His status will be a deciding factor for this one.
Betting Analysis for Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Stats & Analysis
Milwaukee has bounced back nicely from a forgettable start to the season, as they have gone 7-3 over their last ten games. Over their last five matchups, the Bucks have gone 5-0, including a recent 114-93 victory over the Pistons on Wednesday. So what looked like a championship hangover has blossomed into a hot streak for the Bucks.
Arguably the Buck’s greatest strength is their rebounding ability. The team ranks second in league with 47.5 boards per game.
Superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the way with 11.7 rebounds per game in addition to his team-leading 27.2 points per contest. Center Bobby Portis has crashed the glass effectively, as the veteran is averaging 8.6 rebounds per game.
Rebounding is not the most attractive statistic, but it often tells how well a team is performing.
One area that has been an issue for Milwaukee is their overall team field goal percentage. They rank just 20th in league with a 44.3 percentage from the field. They will need to start hitting shots with more efficiency to win back-to-back championships in 2022.
Nonetheless, their arrow is trending upward during the midst of their five-game winning streak.
Denver Nuggets Betting Stats & Analysis
The Nuggets are led in almost every category by center Nikola Jokic. With Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. dealing with injuries, it has been the Jokic show in Denver this season.
The star big man averages 26.4 points, 13.6 rebounds, 6.4 assists, 1.2 steals, and 0.9 blocks per game. He is truly a statline stuffer, and the Nuggets would be nowhere near where they are right now if it was not for him. However, he is listed as questionable for Friday with an injury, so bettors should track his status before placing their final bets.
The team is currently dealing with a five-game losing streak. Ending that unfortunate streak will prove extremely difficult if Jokic cannot suit up for Friday’s game.
Denver ranks just 25th in points scored per game. The next leading scorer behind Jokic is forward Will Barton, with 16.3 points per game. The Nuggets lack reliable depth due to the injuries they have faced here in 2021.
One thing they have done well is shooting the ball efficiently. They rank 12th overall in field goal percentage with a mark of 45.6 percent. Jokic leads the way in that department as well, with an astounding 59.3 percent shooting from the floor.
If the Nuggets can find ways to score while limiting Giannis on the defensive end, they will have an opportunity to win in this ballgame. However, limiting Giannis is much easier said than done, and if Jokic can’t play, that will be a daunting task for the Nuggets defense.
Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Trends
The Bucks are 5-0 straight up over their last five games. They are 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games. The total has hit the under in five of Buck’s last six games.
Milwaukee is 3-7 SU over their last ten meetings with the Nuggets. The total has hit the under in five of their last seven games on the road.
The Nuggets are 0-5 SU in their last five games. They are also 0-5 ATS over their last five games. The total has hit the over in four of those five games.
The Nuggets are 6-2 over their last eight games at their home arena. The total has hit the under in seven of their last ten games at home.
Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Odds
Betonline has the Bucks listed as 3 point favorites for Friday. They have the Moneyline set at -155 for Milwaukee.
Bovada also has the Bucks as 3 point betting favorites. However, they have the Moneyline listed at -160.
Keeping an eye on the health status of Nikola Jokic will be crucial for betting on this contest.
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How to Bet on: Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets NBA – Betting Lines
Simply put, these are two teams trending in opposite directions. The Bucks have won five games in a row, while the Nuggets have done the exact opposite over their last five games. But is it that simple?
The Nuggets perform far better at home with a 6-2 record over their last eight on their home court. But once again, this all comes down to the health of Jokic.
Even with Jokic, the Bucks are playing excellent basketball right now. If Jokic plays, I like the Bucks winning in nail-biting fashion. If he is not on the court, Milwaukee should cruise to a victory.
OBS Betting Picks for Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets NBA
For now, we will assume Jokic is playing.
Take Milwaukee -2.5.
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