Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Analysis, Picks

The Miami Heat (22-13) travel to San Antonio to battle the Spurs (14-19) at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 P.M. EST on Wednesday, December 29th. 

Miami has won four games in a row and eight of their past ten. The Heat will look to keep trending in the right direction on the road in San Antonio. 

The Spurs almost upset the Utah Jazz on Monday but ended up falling six points short. Nonetheless, San Antonio has gone 6-4 over their last ten games.

The Spurs will try to continue performing well against good teams in this Wednesday night affair.

Betting Analysis for Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs NBA

Miami Heat Betting Stats & Analysis

The Miami Heat have dealt with plenty of injuries and covid-related absences this season. Jimmy Butler twisted his ankle in Tuesday’s victory over the Wizards, and he is listed as questionable for Wednesday’s game. Unless Butler is deemed completely fine to play, there is a strong chance that Miami opts to rest him so he can fully recover. 

With Bam Adebayo out for the foreseeable future with an injury and Kyler Lowry inactive due to health and safety protocols, Butler’s absence would limit Miami’s overall star power. But players such as Tyler Herro and Duncan Robinson are capable of carrying the load. 

Herro scored a team-leading 32 points on Tuesday, while Robinson added 26 points. If Butler is unable to play, the Heat will rely heavily on Herro and Robinson to lead the team offensively. 

Miami surprisingly averages less points per game than San Antonio. They will need everyone to step up behind Herro and Robinson if Butler is unable to go in this game. 

The Heat rank seventh in team defensive efficiency. While the Spurs have featured a respectable offense at times this season, expect Miami to shut them down on Wednesday night. Nonetheless, the Heat cannot take this matchup for granted.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Stats & Analysis

The Spurs are currently two spots away from a playoff spot. This is a San Antonio team that has shown glimpses of potential all year long. However, star point guard Dejounte Murray is questionable for Wednesday because of health and safety protocols. 

Murray has been the unquestioned star for the Spurs with 17.8 points, 8.8 assists, and 8.4 rebounds per game. The fact that San Antonio only lost to the Utah Jazz by 6 points without Murray is remarkable. 

Derrick White led the way for the Spurs in the loss against Utah with 21 points and eight assists to go along with three steals. Jacob Poeltl posted a double-double with 10 points and 13 rebounds.

The team effort against Utah will surely provide San Antonio with a spark of confidence for this matchup with the Heat, even if Murray is unable to suit up. 

The Spurs have posted quality rankings in a number of categories this season. They are third in points per game, eighth in rebounds per game, fifth in field goal percentage, ninth in three-point percentage, first in assists per game, and fifth in turnovers per contest. Their chemistry is rapidly building, and this is a young core that is destined to cause havoc in the league for years to come. 

San Antonio could shock the world and make a postseason run this season if they continue to play as they have lately.

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Trends

Miami Heat

  • Miami is 19-16 ATS this season.
  • The Heat are 10-9 ATS on the road this year. 
  • They are 10-2 ATS as an underdog. 
  • Miami is 9-12 ATS following a straight-up win. 
  • The Heat are 10-9 SU as the away team. 
  • They are 9-3 SU as an underdog this season. 

San Antonio Spurs

  • San Antonio is 20-13 ATS this year. 
  • The Spurs are 10-7 ATS as the home team so far in 2021. 
  • They are 6-4 ATS as a favorite. 
  • San Antonio is 11-7 ATS following a straight-up loss this season. 
  • The Spurs are 7-10 SU on their home court. 
  • They are 6-4 SU as a favorite this year. 

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Odds

Yahoo Sportsbook has the Spurs Listed as 3.5-point favorites against the Heat on Wednesday. 

Betonline and Bovada have yet to release their odds for this game.  

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How To Bet On: Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs NBA – Betting lines

There is a strong possibility that both Jimmy Butler and Dejounte Murray are inactive for this game. While that would remove a large amount of star power from this contest, Miami still has depth pieces that can help them upset the odds. 

Tyler Herro has emerged into a star for the Heat. After showing flashes of star potential during his rookie campaign, Herro took a step backwards last season. But so far, during the 2021-2022 campaign, Herro has posted 20.2 points and 4.9 rebounds per contest. 

I believe he can lead Miami to a road victory in this contest. And if Butler ends up being available, the Heat are a no-brainer pick. But assuming he is unavailable to play, I still like the Heat to win this game. 

This matchup presents a solid opportunity for bettors to cash in on the underdog. 

OBS Betting Picks for Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs NBA

If you are going to bet online, take the Miami Heat to cover the spread!

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