Odds, Picks and Predictions
- Toronto is 4-2 in their last five road games and 6-0 in their last six at Fenway Park.
- Boston is 1-4 in their last five games and 5-13 in their last 18 games against the AL East.
- In five of the last six games between these two teams, the total has gone OVER.
AL East rivals will square off in the second of a three-game series on Wednesday as the Toronto Blue Jays (65-55) square off with the Boston Red Sox (60-62). The Red Sox will host this one at Fenway Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 pm ET.
The Blue Jays took the opener of the series on Tuesday, 9-3. In the win, Ross Stripling went six innings, allowing just one run on six hits. He walked one and struck out six in the victory.
Offensively, the Blue Jays slugged 13 hits, including two apiece from George Springer, Vladimir Guerrero Jr, Bo Bichette, Matt Chapman, and Jackie Bradley Jr. Springer added three runs batted in during the victory.
For Boston, Josh Winckowski took the loss after giving up six runs on six hits in just 2.2 innings of work. Five relievers combined to pitch the last 6.1 innings of the game.
Rafael Devers led the offense with three hits, but even though they slugged nine hits in the contest, the Red Sox couldn’t keep up with the Blue Jays. Boston will look to even the series on Wednesday.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
|Toronto Blue Jays
|O 9.5 (-105)
|Boston Red Sox
|U 9.5 (-115)
The Blue Jays come in as the favorites to win Wednesday’s matchup. They are -170 to win while the Red Sox moneyline sits at +141. The runline features Boston +1.5 (-110), and the over/under for total runs is 9.5.
Top Sportsbooks Odds
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
At 65-55, the Toronto Blue Jays sit in third place in the AL East, nine games behind the New York Yankees. If the season ended today, though, they would still be in the playoffs as one of the three AL Wild Card teams. As the Blue Jays look to secure a postseason berth, they know every game is essential coming down the stretch.
Taking the ball for Tuesday’s game will be 28-year-old righty Jose Berrios. In 24 games, he is 9-5 with a 5.39 ERA and 1.37 WHIP, and he has 117 strikeouts in 128.2 innings of work.
After a rough outing against the Cleveland Guardians, Berrios dazzled in his last start against the New York Yankees. In 6.2 innings, he allowed just one run on six hits while striking out nine en route to his ninth win of the season.
Defensively, Toronto has been in the middle of the pack. They rank 16th in scoring defense as they are allowing 4.21 runs per game (3.98 on the road).
At the plate, Toronto is significantly better. They rank sixth in the majors in scoring as they are averaging 4.70 runs per game (4.90 on the road).
Leading the offense is first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. In 467 at bats, he is hitting .283/.350/.507 with a team-leading 26 home runs, 75 runs batted in, and 70 runs scored.
Over the last month, Matt Chapman has been one of Toronto’s best hitters. In that span, he leads the team with eight home runs while also adding 13 runs batted in and 15 runs scored.
Boston Red Sox Preview
To say it has been a disappointing season for the Red Sox would be a bit of an understatement. They sit dead last in the division, 15.5 games back of the first place. Still, as they sit just 6.5 games out of the last Wild Card spot, a run at the postseason is still not out of the picture.
If they are going to make a run, they certainly need to improve defensively. They rank 25th in scoring defense, allowing 4.80 runs per game (5.08 at home).
Trying to slow down Toronto’s offense Wednesday will be 23-year-old righty Brayan Bello. In five games this season, he has gone 0-3 with a 8.47 ERA, 2.29 WHIP, and has 15 strikeouts in 17 innings.
In his last nine combined innings, Bello has given up seven runs on 15 hits while striking out just eight.
Offensively, the team is led by third baseman Rafael Devers. The All-Star is hitting .300/.356/.557 this season with a team-leading 25 home runs, 64 runs batted in, and 68 runs scored. Devers has a home run off of Berrios, but he is also hitting just .200 in 20 at bats.
Alex Verdugo has had the most success off of the righty, hitting .455 in 11 at bats with a home run.
Like Toronto, the Red Sox are far better on offense than defense. They rank 12th in scoring averaging 4.49 runs per game (4.53 at home).
In Tuesday’s opener, the Red Sox saw two of their better players leave the game. Both shortstop Xander Bogaerts and outfielder Tommy Pham left after experiencing back spasms. While they are currently listed as questionable for Wednesday’s game, it is unlikely either will play.
Other significant players on the injured list for Boston include Trevor Story (hand), Eric Hosmer (back), Tanner Houck (back), Nathan Eovaldi (shoulder), and Chris Sale (wrist).
Toronto’s core is less affected by injuries as the only major players missing from action include Hyun-Jin Ryu (elbow, out for season), Julian Merryweather (abdominal), and Nate Pearson (side).
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions
This matchup screams Toronto. Even though Jose Berrios has had a letdown of a season, there isn’t too much to like about the Red Sox Wednesday. Not only could they be without Xander Bogaerts and Tommy Pham after leaving Tuesday’s game, but they are starting a pitcher who has worked primarily out of relief and has gotten roughed up as a starter.
Throw on top of that the fact that the Red Sox have lost six straight to the Blue Jays at Fenway Park, and the smart play here is to take Toronto. Especially with a taxed Red Sox bullpen, the Blue Jays should not only win, but they should cover the -1.5 runline as well.
The Pick: Take Toronto -1.5 (-110)