St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview (Fri)
After taking two out of three games from the Reds in Cincinnati, the Cardinals head to Milwaukee for a three-game series against the NL Central-leading Brewers. Milwaukee has a ten game lead in the NL Central and lead the Cardinals by 12.5.
The stage is set for a good old-fashioned pitchers’ duel in game one of the series. Adam Wainwright takes the mound for St. Louis just a few days removed from his 40th birthday. Freddy Peralta mans the bump for the Brewers. Both starters have a sub-3 ERA on the season.
St. Louis is 2.5 game behind the Reds in the NL Wild Card standings, but the Phillies and Padres are both between the Reds and Cards. The battle for the 2nd NL Wild Card spot is going to be one for the ages.
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St. Louis Cardinals Preview: Fighting for the NL Wild Card
If the Cardinals want to jump in and steal the 2nd wild card spot, they need to go on one of those vaunted St. Louis September hot streaks. Every game is vital for the Redbirds right now. They need a little of that “Cardinals Devil Magic” to kick in.
One guy who certainly needs no magic to get the job done this season is starting pitcher Adam Wainwright. At 40 years old, Waino will likely receive Cy Young votes for the first time since 2014.
Wainwright is 13-7 with a 2.97 ERA. He’s thrown 170 innings this season and has been worth 3.2 bWAR. Heading into Friday’s game, only 3 MLB pitchers have more innings pitched and quality starts this season, and he will likely pass at least one of them in this start. Waino leads the league in complete games this season with 3.
The Cardinals offense this season has been streaky, to say the least. They rank 16th in MLB in run differential at -21. The Brewers are +124 and ranked 6th. St. Louis is -11 on the road, and Milwaukee is +14 at home.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview: Dominating the NL Central
Milwaukee has dominated the NL Central all season long. The division was only up for grabs for the first few weeks of the season, and then Milwaukee put their foot on the gas.
The 2021 Brewers have what many call the best pitching staff in all of baseball. Their staff has a 3.34 ERA and a 3.49 ERA at home this season. They trail only the White Sox in strikeouts per 9 at 10.16. One of only three teams over 10.
Freddy Peralta ranks 17th in the league with 164 strikeouts on the season. He is 9-3 with a 2.45 ERA and has been worth 3.5 bWAR. Somehow, Peralta is only the 3rd best starter on his own team. Those numbers could be the ace of basically any staff in the league.
Wainwright Keeps Winning
BetUS has the Brewers favored by 1.5 on the run line in game 1 of the series. They offer +145 odds on Milwaukee -1.5. They have the Brewers’ odds on the moneyline at -175 and the Cardinals at +155.
Milwaukee is 77-58 against the run line this season, good for 3rd in MLB. St. Louis is 66-66 against the line, good for 16th.
The Brew Crew is only 31-24 against the line at home, while the Cardinals are 37-30 on the road. The Brewers are 25-31 against the line as the favorite at home. The Cardinals are 25-21 as road dogs.
We like Adam Wainwright to go deep in this one and dominate a solid Brewers lineup. Waino is 18-12 with a 2.49 ERA against the Brewers in his career.
On the arm of Adam Wainwright and the red-hot bat of Paul Goldschmidt, the Cardinals steal a win in Milwaukee. Take St. Louis on the moneyline at+155 odds.
- Cardinals ML (+155)