Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles Odds and Picks
- The under is 13-5-2 in the last 20 meetings at Camden Yards
- Baltimore is 4-1 over the last five meetings, regardless of location
- The Orioles is 36-44-3 on over/unders and 21-17 at Camden Yards, while the Angels are 33-42-8 on over/unders and 17-22 away from home
The Los Angeles Angels are struggling of late, having lost five of their last seven games, but now head to the Atlantic coast for a four-game series with the Baltimore Orioles.
That could be the recipe needed for the Angels (37-45) to get back on track and try to make a push toward the playoffs leading to the trade deadline.
The series opener’s first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland.
That may be a stretch, though, considering three teams in the American League East with 45 wins, not counting the New York Yankees, who are a league-best 59-23. It’s a wonder what the Orioles (39-44) could do if they were in a different division this season.
The Angels send righty Chase Silseth to the mound. He’s 1-2 with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP (Walks, Hits per Innings Pitched) in 20.2 innings pitched. The Angels are 1-4 when he pitches, and the over/under is 2-3.
His best outing came May 13 against Oakland, when he threw six scoreless innings.
Baltimore counters with Jordan Lyles. The veteran righty is 4-7 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. The Orioles are 5-11 in his starts, and over/unders are 7-9. Only twice in his last eight starts has he allowed two earned runs or less, and they came across his last three.
Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles Odds
|Los Angeles Angels||-105||O 8.5||+1.5 (-205)|
|Baltimore Orioles||-105||U 8.5||-1.5 (+170)|
Oddsmakers have the game as a pick ‘em. With an unproven starter who is inconsistent in Silseth and a consistently bad starter in Lyles, there is reason to believe the over will hit for how surprisingly low it is. But that also goes to show how the offenses are viewed as the bottom third of the league.
If one feels strongly about the Orioles winning by two or more, those are the best odds at +170 to profit on, given the pick ‘em and heavy belief the Angels will either lose by one or win outright with run line odds of -205.
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Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
Angels lacking on offense
Having two of the greatest players to play baseball on the active roster, one would think the Angels would be better offensively. That isn’t the case. The Angels score 4.13 runs per game, ranking 24th in the league. Their .232 batting average is 25th with a .694 OPS (17th). They also strike out the most times in baseball at 9.83 per contest.
Mike Trout is hitting .269 with 17 doubles, 23 home runs, 48 RBIs, and 53 runs scored. Shohei Ohtani is hitting .259 with 15 doubles, 18 home runs, 53 RBIs, and 48 runs scored to pace the team. Taylor Ward is having a breakout season, hitting .304 with ten doubles, 12 home runs, 42 runs scored, and 34 RBIs.
The pitching has actually been pretty good. They’re 14th, allowing 4.27 runs per game, but have room for improvement. The opposing batting average of .235 is 10th, and opposing OPS of .697 is 12th.
Ohtani has by far been the ace of the staff, but he is not scheduled to start this series. Closer Raisel Iglesias is 15 for 17 in save opportunities with a 3.68 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 29.1 innings pitched. Jaime Barria is likely to provide some length out of the bullpen on Thursday, while Jimmy Herget has been effective in high leverage situations.
Which Oriole steps up?
There have been inconsistencies with the Orioles’ offense this season. They are scoring 4.19 runs per game, ranking 23rd, which is better than expected, with a batting average of .230, the fourth worst. The team’s .682 OPS is the fifth-worst mark, and they strike out the fourth most times per contest at 9.15 times per game.
Ryan Mountcastle is questionable Thursday due to illness, and his status is key to watch before betting. He’s hitting .276 with an .811 OPS with 18 doubles, 14 home runs, 40 RBIs, and 35 runs scored. He’s been consistent in the middle of the lineup. He’s finally getting some help as Cedric Mullins is heating up. He has 22 doubles and 43 runs scored to lead the team.
In total, Baltimore has eight players with at least ten doubles. Austin Hays has had some pop with 20 doubles, 11 home runs, and a team-leading 45 RBIs while second with 40 runs scored. Anthony Santander leads the team with 15 home runs.
The Orioles’ pitching staff has overachieved as well. They’re allowing 4.47 runs per game, ranking 18th, while opponents have a .256 batting average against (25th) and .733 OPS (23rd). Baltimore is also the second-worst team at striking out hitters, averaging 7.36 per game.
Lyles can give them length, pitching into or through the seventh in his last three starts, and getting through at least five innings in six straight. That should help the bullpen if he can do that, especially with a lead.
The Orioles have five pitchers out for an extended period of time, but the key for Thursday’s game is Mountcastle, who typically hits third in the lineup and is a power producer. The Angels’ bullpen would likely be a lot better if seven pitchers weren’t out.
That doesn’t include starter Griffin Canning. Offensively, third baseman Anthony Rendon is out for the season, and David Fletcher isn’t due back till after the All-Star break.
Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions
Pick your poison on the moneyline, given the odds and how similar both teams are. Baltimore would probably be the favorites in this matchup if they had a better starter going, but that obviously isn’t the case. Mountcastle’s questionable tag is also a cause for concern.
Plus, the Angels have Trout and Ohtani, arguably the two best players in the world.
The Pick: Angels -105