Kentucky Derby Odds & Important Trends To Identify Winner

Home » News » Horse Racing » Kentucky Derby Odds & Important Trends To Identify Winner

The first Triple Crown of the year is edging ever closer, with Churchill Downs hosting the 149th edition of the Kentucky Derby on Saturday, May 6. It promises to be yet another thrilling renewal of the race, with this year’s crop of three-year-olds looking to join legendary figures such as Secretariat, American Pharoah, and Affirmed in winning the prestigious Grade 1.

But, what are some of the key trends that should be followed in order to maximize the Kentucky Derby odds available this year?

Top Sportsbooks to Bet on Horse Racing

Get:
100% Crypto Bonus
Bonus Code “CRYPTO100”
1st Time Deposit
*with Cryptocurrencies
4.5 rating
4.5
T&Cs Apply
1st Time Crypto Bonus

If you have never made a deposit with Cryptocurrency before, use promo code CRYPTO100 on your first-ever deposit using either Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple, Stellar, or USD Coin, to earn a 100% Bonus.
Bonus up to:
200% Crypto Bonus
Bonus Code “JOIN200”
* New customers only. Minimum Deposit of $100
5.0 rating
5.0
T&Cs Apply
New customers only

With just a minimum deposit of $100

Bonus can go as high as $2,500
Welcome Bonus:
50% up to $250
Bonus Code “NEWELCOME”
* Apply to the first deposit
4.8 rating
4.8
T&Cs Apply
New customers only

50% of your deposit amount, up to $250. The rollover for its use in the sportsbook is 5x

Kentucky Derby Odds

The table below shows the latest Kentucky Derby odds from BetUS, giving you a clear picture of the top contenders for the upcoming race. With this information, you can make informed bets and increase your chances of winning big. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a newcomer to horse racing, these odds are an essential tool for predicting the outcome of this exciting event. Take a look at the table and start planning your wagers today.

Forte +250
Tapit Trice +450
Angel of Empire +700
Practical Move +800
Kingsbarns +1000
Derma Sotogake +1000
Mage +1600
Two Phil’s +1600
Skinner +1600
Verifying +1800
Mandarin Hero +2000
Rocket Can +2500
Hit Show +2500
Confidence Game +2500
Lord Miles +2500
Disarm +2800
Jace’s Road +3300
Reincarnate +4000
Continuar +5000
Cyclone Mischief +5000
King Russell +5000
Raise Cain +6600
Sun Thunder +6600
Per BetUs

Significance Of The Draw

The first big day in the lead-up to the Kentucky Derby took place on Monday, as the draw for the race at Churchill Downs was staged. There are just three furlongs covered before the first bend, meaning the start could make or break a contender’s chances.

Stall five is the most successful in the history of the race, with ten previous winners breaking from this gate. That means the position has a 10.80% strike rate in Derby history, elevating the chances of Tapit Trice this weekend. The most recent winner from stall five was Always Dreaming in 2017.

Other gates with high strike rates include stalls ten (10.5%), 15 (9%), and 20 (11.1%). However, recent bias has been with the highest draws, including Authentic, who landed success from stall 15 in 2020.

Meanwhile, Country House landed victory from gate 18 in 2019, and last year’s winner, Rich Strike, started from gate 20. However, the one slight anomaly to this trend is gate 17, which is yet to secure a victory from 43 starts. That trend could be damning to one of the key contenders in the Kentucky Derby odds, Derma Sotogake.

Best Kentucky Derby Prep Races

The Road to the Kentucky Derby sees over 40 races staged, with horses able to pick up qualifying points to secure their berth. Over 99 runners on the Derby trail picked up points this year, but only the top 20 can start the race, with Skinner scraping into the field with 49 points.

It could be a huge factor for Forte that the G1 Florida Derby has been among the most successful prep races, with five previous winners having completed the double since 2006. On the West Coast, the G1 Santa Anita Derby has a strong record, with three winners having landed victory since 2012, including Triple Crown hero Justify in 2018. That could present market support in the Kentucky Derby odds for Practical Move.

While many of the significant preps have resulted in at least one winning runner, the two races that many bettors have often opted to overlook are the Wood Memorial and Blue Grass. The latter was won by Lord Miles, he became the first runner since Fusaichi Pegasus in 2000 to do the double. It could be more damning for Blue Grass winner Tapit Trice, who is bidding to become the first winner of that race since Strike The Gold in 1991 to complete the double.

Speed Figure Importance

The Beyer speed figures should take an important role in researching before making Kentucky Derby predictions. This could help to whittle down the field to the most likely winners. Historically, eleven of the previous 13 winners of the Derby have achieved a rating of at least 100 before winning the Derby.

Interestingly, very few horses in the field this year reach those criteria, with just three achieving that figure. Forte and Practical Move both hit the required figures on their previous start, while Two Phil’s boasts the best rating of 101 after landing the Jeff Ruby Steaks on the synthetic. However, neither of the Japanese runners in the field has Beyer ratings, which is most troubling for handicappers when it comes to Derma Sotogake’s chances.

Favor Last Time Out Winners

One of the most important trends to consider before examining the Kentucky Derby odds is the last run of the contenders. Stats show that ten of the previous 12 winners of the race came into the Derby after winning on their previous start, although Rich Strike is one of the anomalies to that trend.

Six horses come into the race after landing victories on their previous start, including pre-race favorite Forte. Tapit Trice, Practical Move, and Kingsbarns also come into the race with undefeated records. However, the latter will also be looking to become only the second runner in Derby history to land victory in the race, having failed to make a start as a two-year-old.

Other horses that landed victories in their previous starts were Derma Sotogake, in the G2 UAE Derby, Two Phil’s in the Jeff Ruby Steaks, and Angel of Empire in the G1 Arkansas Derby.

Kentucky Derby 2023 Prediction

The trends are hard to ignore when it comes to making wagers on the Kentucky Derby, and they certainly highlight the case of Forte. The three-year-old has been the standout star on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, and he is the credible contender to land Triple Crown glory.

Meanwhile, the trends also further the chances of Two Phil’s and Angel of Empire, with both offering excellent value in the current Kentucky Derby odds.

Pick: Forte (+300)

Pick: Two Phil’s (+1600)

Pick: Angel of Empire (+700)

Participate in the BetOnline Kentucky Derby Contest

Are you ready to put your Kentucky Derby knowledge to the test and win big? Check out BetOnline’s Kentucky Derby Contest, offering a grand prize of $10,000. With the latest Kentucky Derby odds, you can make informed bets and increase your chances of winning this exciting contest. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to showcase your horse racing expertise and win big. Sign up now and join the BetOnline Kentucky Derby Contest. And don’t forget to check out the latest Kentucky Derby odds to make the most profitable bets.

Check out the best betting sites to wager online at Online Betting Sports. Stay with us to keep up with the best offshore sportsbooks reviews and sports betting bonusesFollow us on Twitter.

Read More

Posts not found

Sorry, no other posts related this article.

Top Sportsbooks
4.5 rating
Betonline was already considered a platform with immense integrity, and as such, was trusted by bettors everywhere.
5.0 rating
BetUS is a Costa Rica based offshore sports betting company. Launched in 1994, it is one of the oldest sports betting sites in the world.
4.8 rating
Bovada is a trusted online gambling site offering sports betting, poker, casino games and betting on horse racing.
4.8 rating
MyBookie bonuses are some of the best in the business, both in terms of quality and variety. This is an area that put MyBookie up.
4.8 rating
In our review, Betnow.eu emerges as a standout online sportsbook and casino. It offers an engaging betting experience where users can log in, place bets, and potentially reap significant rewards, distinguishing itself from the usual online sports betting platforms.
Top Casinos
5.0 rating
Experience the thrill of casino gaming from the comfort of your home with Vegas Aces. With a variety of popular games, secure withdrawal methods, and commitment to responsible gambling, Vegas Aces is your premier destination for a secure and enjoyable online casino experience.
5.0 rating
The Wild Casino is indeed living up to its name. The operators of this online casino didn't make a naming mistake, from the wild payouts to wild game offerings to fast gameplay.
5.0 rating
Slots Paradise casino is a new casino, but the operators are fantastic. It will soon be a big name in the betting industry committed to offering quality games to its players.
Online Betting Sports - Sports Betting Sites Reviews, Odds, News and Picks
© Copyright 2024 Online Betting Sports - Sports Betting Odds, News, Picks & Predictions