UGA Plays Their First Game as New #1
Will it be a short reign at the top for the new #1 team in Georgia, or are they set to claim this spot from here on out? The Bulldogs have a tough challenge right out of the gate when #11 Kentucky visits Athens on Saturday afternoon.
It might seem strange that sportsbooks such as BetUS and Bovada have UGA as a -22.5 favorite in this matchup of two of the top 12 teams in the country. That’s how good the Bulldogs (6-0) have been this season, but UK (6-0) has been pretty good in their own rights.
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Wildcats Answering the Bell Every Time
Kentucky is 6-0 playing in the rough and tumbles SEC, but many people still aren’t giving the Wildcats a chance in the NCAAF free picks for week 7. Those skeptics might not be wrong, as UK’s only signature win was 20-13 over then #10 Florida in week five.
The Wildcats did look good last week in a 42-21 win at home over LSU that saw Kentucky as just -2 point favorites in the betting odds. UK RBs Christopher Rodriguez, Jr. (147 yards), Kavosiey Smoke (104), and QB Will Levis (75) were part of 330 yards on the ground vs. the Tigers.
Of course, putting up the kinds of numbers Kentucky had last week is a completely different challenge against Georgia. The most points the Bulldogs have allowed in a game this season is in the 40-13 win over South Carolina in week three, and UGA has allowed a TD or less in four of six games this season.
Kentucky’s mission to cover the +22.5 points for sports betting picks is to run the ball. The Wildcats have the 2nd worst pass offense in the SEC (197.7 ypg), although Levis did have 3 TD and 0 INT in the win over LSU.
Georgia Only Getting Started?
Texas A&M’s win over Alabama last week allowed Georgia to get into the top spot in the AP Top 25, showing that no team is safe from the upset. The Crimson Tide were -18.5 point favorites last week, and their loss to an unranked team was the first time that has happened in 100 games.
Anybody can lose at any time, but Georgia has looked tremendous ever since their 10-3 win over Clemson in the season opener. The Bulldogs were +3 point underdogs at the sportsbook in that game which is a steal looking back. -22.5 looks like many points to give for Online Sports Betting against #11 Kentucky, but UGA has covered -36, -22.5, -16.5, and -14.5 numbers already in 2021.
What makes Georgia so tough is that they are great on both sides of the football. The offense has put up 34+ points in five straight, while the defense has allowed a total of 30 points over that same span. UGA had 231 yards passing and 200+ on the ground last week against #18 Auburn and the week before had 273 yards on the ground vs. #8 Arkansas
They have the #3 defense in the SEC to Kentucky’s credit, allowing 305 yards/game. The Wildcats are allowing 17.5 ppg, which is 3rd in the conference, and something to consider in totals betting when these two teams combine to allow 23 ppg (O/U 44.5)
Kentucky at Auburn Pick
Kentucky lost this matchup 14-3 last year at home as +17 point sports betting underdogs. UGA was ranked #5 at the time, the game was in Lexington, and it was the 11th straight win over the UK but it being such a close game gives the Wildcats hope for Saturday.
That hope doesn’t necessarily mean a win over UGA but at least keeping this one within 22.5 points.
Pick: Kentucky +22.5
