Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Betting Analysis, Odds & Picks
The Baltimore Ravens (8-3) and Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1) will battle on Sunday, December 5th, at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 P.M. EST.
Pittsburgh is coming off of a brutal 41-10 blowout at the hands of the Cincinnati Bengals. With the loss, the Steelers have now lost three consecutive games.
Baltimore took care of the division rival Cleveland Browns last Sunday by a final score of 16-10. The Ravens have won two straight games and have sole possession of first place in the AFC North.
The Steelers’ poor play as of late places their postseason hopes in jeopardy. This is a must-win game for Pittsburgh. A win against first-place Baltimore would keep them hanging around in the AFC North.
The Bengals are right on the heels of the Ravens in the division, so Baltimore could use a victory to maintain their division lead.
Anyway you slice it; this game is pivotal for both sides. Let’s break down this crucial Sunday matchup.
Betting Analysis for Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers NFL
Baltimore Ravens Betting Stats & Analysis
The Ravens were far from excellent last week. Lamar Jackson threw four interceptions, and the Browns had plenty of opportunities to take control of the game. While Baltimore was fortunate to escape with a win, they need to play better moving forward.
Despite the forgettable game for Jackson, he is still having a fine season. The dual-threat QB has thrown for 2,612 yards and 15 touchdowns to go along with 707 yards on the ground. His achilles heel has been turnovers as Jackson has thrown 12 interceptions.
The Ravens have a unique defense. To sum it up, they are dreadful against the pass but dominant against the run. They allow less than 85 rushing yards per game which ranks second in the NFL but allow just over 275 passing yards per contest, which is dead last in the league.
All of that equates to a fairly mediocre defensive unit which is 19th overall in total yards allowed per game and 9th overall in points allowed per game.
One thing Baltimore does well is controlling the clock. They are first in the NFL in time of possession. Much of this is due to LaMar Jackson’s scrambling ability.
He is always a threat to move the chains because of his two-way skillset as a thrower and a runner.
Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Stats & Analysis
The Steelers need to figure things out fast. The regular season is winding down, and their playoff chances are shrinking with every game that goes by.
Big Ben Roethlisberger is no stranger to the big moment and could help his team get back on track. However, he is far from the same star quarterback he once was.
In all reality, Pittsburgh is fortunate to be where they are from a record standpoint. This is a team that ranks 22nd in points per game and 23rd in points allowed per game. Most teams with those kinds of numbers are destined to be well under .500.
Pittsburgh’s greatest strength is their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks. They rank fifth in the NFL in sacks with 30. This will play to their benefit on Sunday since Baltimore’s best player happens to be their quarterback.
Expect the Steelers to try and force Jackson into the pocket. Typically, you want to force QB’s out of the pocket, causing them to scramble or throw off balance. But as we discussed earlier, Jackson is a lethal scrambler, so forcing him to the outside only enhances his possibilities to make plays.
If the Steelers can make him consistently throw the ball, they may be able to create havoc and force turnovers. That will be the recipe for success if Pittsburgh has realistic aspirations of winning this game and upsetting the odds.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Betting Trends
Baltimore is 6-5 ATS in 2021. Baltimore is 0-5 ATS when entering a game as 4.5-point or more favorites. The Ravens are 5-2 SU when they gain more than 367 total yards.
The Steelers are 4-7 ATS this season. They are 3-1 ATS when favored to lose by 4.5 points or more. Pittsburgh has hit the over on the total five times out of 11 opportunities this year.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Betting Odds
BetOnline has the Ravens listed as 4.5-point favorites for Sunday’s contest.
BetUS also has Baltimore as 4.5-point favorites against Pittsburgh.
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How to Bet On: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers NFL – Betting Lines
The Steelers have labored over the past month while Baltimore has taken a step in the correct direction. It was not too long ago when it looked as if anybody in the AFC North had a chance to win the division. While Baltimore has not clinched, they are beginning to establish themselves as the favorite.
Although they are far from a complete and perfect team, they find ways to win games. Whether it is the defense stepping up late or LaMar Jackson making a clutch play, Baltimore steps up when it matters.
The Ravens are difficult to read from a betting standpoint since they have struggled against the spread given the close outcomes of the majority of their games.
But I like the Ravens to win and hold up the spread in Pittsburgh on Sunday despite playing on the road.
OBS Betting Picks for Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers NFL
Take the Baltimore Ravens -4.5
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