Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers NBA Betting Analysis, Picks
The Golden State Warriors (21-5) and Indiana Pacers (12-16) meet up at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indiana for a Monday night NBA affair. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 P.M. EST.
Most people watching this game will be focused on Stephen Curry. Curry enters Monday’s action just six three-pointers behind Ray Allen’s all-time record for most career threes.
As a team, Golden State is coming off of a rough loss in Philadelphia where they struggled to find the bottom of the net on a consistent basis. Nonetheless, the Warriors are still 7-3 over their past 10 games.
Indiana recently announced that they plan on rebuilding which means that players such as Caris LeVert, Domantas Sabonis, and Myles Turner could all be moved before February’s trade deadline. But for now, all three players remain with the team and they will look for a victory on Monday.
The Pacers are 5-5 over their last 10 contests and have won three consecutive games.
Betting Analysis for Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers NBA
Golden State Warriors Betting Stats & Analysis
The Warriors rank sixth overall in three-point percentage. Stephen Curry and the rest of the team have impressed from beyond the arc for the majority of the 2021-2022 campaign. However, the wheels fell off on Saturday against the Sixers.
The team combined to go 12-48 from three-point land in an uncharacteristically poor shooting night for the Warriors. But when you rely on the three-ball these nights are bound to happen.
But Golden State does more than just toss up the long ball. They rank first in points per game, third in rebounds per game, first in assists per game, second in steals per game, and third in field goal percentage.
This is a well-balanced group of players that should be able to overcome difficult shooting nights in the future.
However, the one thing the Warriors don’t do at a respectable level is take care of the basketball. Golden State ranks 29th in turnovers per game with a mark of 15.6. Curry and Draymond Green both average 3 turnovers per game while Jordan Poole averages 2.5 turnovers per contest.
As long as Golden State can reel in those mistakes moving forward they will be fine. The shots are going to fall and Stephen Curry is going to break the all-time three point-record very soon.
Indiana Pacers Betting Stats & Analysis
The Pacers were hopeful for a successful season prior to the beginning of the year. But that has not been the case so far in 2021. Indiana is currently third to last in the Eastern Conference and they have failed to work well as a unit.
But there have been bright spots on the team.
Malcolm Brogdon leads the Pacers with 19.9 points and 6.2 assists per game to go along with a steady 5 and a half rebounds per contest. Former all-star Domantis Sabonis continues to excel in Indiana despite the team’s underperformance with his 18.2 points, 1.1 steals, and team-leading 11.9 rebounds per game.
The Pacers rank in the top half of the league in points and rebounds per game. They are also first in blocks per game which is a product of shot-blocking extraordinaire Myles Turner and his 2.7 blocks per game.
A major problem is that Indiana has failed to win close games.
All too often they will be leading in the fourth quarter only to lose when the final buzzer sounds. This team could easily be much better than their record indicates. There have been multiple instances this season where the Pacers were defeated by three points or less.
They will search to change that narrative against this talented Golden State team.
Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers NBA Betting Trends
Golden State is 17-9 ATS this season. They are 14-7-1 ATS when favored to win by three points or more. The over has hit in eight of Golden State’s 26 games this year.
The Pacers are 15-13 ATS in 2021. They are 5-1 ATS when favored to lose by three or more points this season. 13 of the Pacer’s 28 games have hit the over on the point total.
Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers NBA Betting Odds
Oddsshark has the Warriors favored to win by 3.5 points on Monday.
Capperspicks lists Golden State as a 3.5-point favorite against Indiana as well.
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How to bet on: Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers NBA – Betting lines
As we discussed earlier, all eyes will be on Steph Curry in this game. There have been rumors flying around that the Warriors were going to sit Curry on Monday in an effort to give him extra rest, but all recent reports indicate that Curry will be in the starting lineup in this affair.
While hitting six three-pointers may seem like a daunting task, Curry certainly has the capability to do so.
Every one of the Warriors’ other players should find themselves with plenty of open looks at the basket in this game. They will have opportunities to score given the defensive attention that Curry draws.
Expect Indiana to take a page out of the 76ers playbook and place their best defender on Curry. The Pacers will also focus on covering the perimeter to keep the pressure on Golden State from beyond the arc. The Pacers may have a chance for an upset if they can cause the Warriors to have another disappointing shooting night.
But the Warriors tend to bounce back from losses very quickly, as evidenced by their overall 21-5 record. Expect Golden State to rebound and earn the victory on the road on Monday in Indiana.
OBS Betting Picks for Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers NBA
Take the Warriors -3.5
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