Boston Celtics at Phoenix Suns NBA Betting Analysis, Picks
The Boston Celtics (13-13) and Phoenix Suns (20-4) will face off at the Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 P.M. PST on Friday night.
The Suns continue to play elite basketball following a win against the Spurs on Monday. They are 9-1 over their past ten contests and rank second in the Western Conference behind the Warriors by just one-half of a game.
Boston has been about as mediocre as you can imagine this season. They are 13-13 overall and are 5-5 over their past ten games. The Celtics recently traveled to Staples Center, where they were swept in back-to-back nights by both the Lakers and Clippers.
Boston will try to rebound against this red hot Suns team on Friday night in Phoenix.
Betting Analysis for Boston Celtics at Phoenix Suns NBA
Boston Celtics Betting Stats & Analysis
The Boston Celtics have struggled to get things going in 2021. They had early-season drama with Marcus Smart, and an anonymous coach recently called Jayson Tatum selfish.
Nonetheless, Boston still has a talented roster and should remain in the postseason hunt as the season progresses.
In regards to Tatum, he has been good so far in 2021 for the most part. The small forward has averaged 25.7 points per game to go along with 8.8 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. While those numbers are undoubtedly terrific, there are some concerning underlying stats worth discussing.
It appears that he may be pressing a bit too much at times.
Prior to this year, Tatum had never posted a field goal percentage below 45 percent. But he has shown a rare form of inefficiency with a 41.5 percent field goal percentage during the 2021-2022 campaign. The results are similar from beyond the arc as Tatum is shooting just 33.3 percent from three-point land.
So while his base numbers still look solid, there is no question Tatum’s overall value has been questionable. He is likely trying to do too much in an effort to help Boston win more games, especially with Jaylen Brown currently dealing with a hamstring injury.
The Celtics have been decent on offense as a team. They rank 10th overall in points per game, but they are in the back half of the league in overall field goal and three-point percentage. The Tatum effect is certainly felt in those rankings.
Boston truly needs one more star to take the pressure off of Tatum and Brown once he is healthy. Many have speculated Damian Lillard may be a good fit, but Lillard has made it clear he is not interested in being traded.
The Celtics need to figure something out fast because they are spiraling at the moment.
Phoenix Suns Betting Stats & Analysis
The Phoenix Suns have been nothing short of phenomenal so far this season. Even with Devin Booker out with an injury, the team continues to play well, which speaks to the leadership of Chris Paul and the depth of this roster.
Paul and DeAndre Ayton have stepped up in a major way with Booker out. CP3 leads the team in assists with 10.1 and has also contributed 14.6 points per game. Ayton leads Phoenix with 11.1 rebounds per game to go along with 16.3 points per contest.
The Suns do almost everything well as a team.
They rank fifth in points per game, first in field goal percentage, fifth in three-point percentage, fourth in assists per game, and fourth in steals per game.
To summarize all of that, they will beat you from anywhere on the court on the offensive end and then steal the ball on defense and do it all over again. This is an intimidating team to face right now.
Boston Celtics at Phoenix Suns NBA Betting Trends
Boston is 13-12-1 ATS so far this season. They are 5-2 ATS over their last seven games as an underdog.
Phoenix is 12-12 ATS this year. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games when playing on at least three days of rest.
The under is 4-1 in the last five matchups between Boston and Phoenix.
Boston Celtics at Phoenix Suns NBA Betting Odds
Oddsshark lists the Suns as 5.5-point favorites entering Friday.
Bestodds also has the Suns favored to win by 5.5 points.
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How To Bet On: Boston Celtics at Phoenix Suns NBA – Betting Lines
The obvious favorites in this game are the Suns. They are 9-1 over their last ten and maybe the best team in the NBA.
But can Boston pull off the upset?
Jaylen Brown has already been ruled out for Friday’s affair, and Jayson Tatum can’t do it all by himself. While players such as Dennis Schroder, Marcus Smart, and Al Horford are all capable of contributing, Phoenix simply offers more of an array of talent.
But it goes beyond pure talent.
The Suns pick-and-roll game is almost unguardable, with CP3 leading the way. Even if the Celtics have a great night offensively, the chances of them limiting the Phoenix offense are slim.
The Suns are intelligent on defense and rarely allow opponents to go on deep scoring runs.
Finding a way to beat the Suns comes down to fundamentals and game-planning. The Celtics have to stay structured on offense and need to communicate against the pick-and-roll on defense.
But I am rolling with Phoenix in this affair to cover the spread.
Expect the Suns to continue their outstanding play and earn the victory at home.
OBS Betting Picks for Boston Celtics at Phoenix Suns NBA
Take the Suns -5.5.
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