Updated Betting Odds to Win 2021 NL MVP Award

Here we are in early September, and the National League pennant race, Cy Young race, and MVP race are all getting red-hot. It looks like the National League MVP race will come down to the wire once again in 2021. 

The AL MVP award is basically a two-man race between Shohei Ohtani and Vladimir Guerrero Jr, while the NL MVP is wide open and could go to a number of National League superstars. Let’s take a look at how BetOnline has the top 8 players’ odds to win the NL MVP and who our favorites are to win. 

MVP CandidateOdds
Fernando Tatis Jr.-200
Bryce Harper +275
Max Muncy+900
Freddie Freeman   +1000
Juan Soto    +2500
Joey Votto    +2500
Trea Turner+3300
Austin Riley+4000

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Fernando Tatis Jr. (-200)

According to BetOnline, San Diego Padres superstar Fernando Tatis Jr. has the top odds to win the NL MVP at -200. In only his third season in the league, Tatis is flat-out raking across the board.

He’s currently slashing .277/.363/.628 on a team that is fighting for a National League Wild Card spot. His .628 slugging percentage leads MLB, and he has a 171 OPS+ that also leads the Majors. He has the NL lead in home runs with 37. He also leads NL position players with 5.5 bWAR.

Keep in mind that these numbers were impacted by a short IL stint in May and early August. Had Tatis played in the 25 games or so that he missed, his counting stats could be off the charts.

His 162 game totals at his current pace would put him at 165 hits, 97 XBH, 57 home runs, 136 runs scored, 130 RBIs, and 37 steals. Those are video game numbers and would likely win the MVP in either league. 

Bryce Harper (+275)

Bryce Harper has exploded onto the NL MVP scene in the second half of the season. After a quiet start in 2021, Harper is currently slashing .301 /.412/.587 with an NL leading OPS of .999 and trails only Tatis with a 170 OPS+. He has 61 XBH, 28 home runs, 66 RBIs, and 82 runs scored. 

Since July 1st, his OPS is just shy of 1.100. His 162 game pace since July 1st is 41 home runs, 118 RBIs, and 118 runs scored on 181 hits. Those numbers would outperform his 2015 NL MVP campaign. 

Max Muncy (+900)

Flying under the radar for NL MVP is Max Muncy, one of the Dodgers’ most consistent hitters all season. In a year that Cody Bellinger can’t seem to put it together at the plate, Muncy has stepped up big-time for LA. 

Muncy is slashing .255/.381/.531 with a .912 OPS and 130 OPS+. His bWAR is at 5.4 on the season. He’s tied with Juan Soto for 2nd in the NL in bWAR. Tatis is ahead of them by just a tenth of a point. He leads dark horse NL MVP candidate and teammate, Trea Turner, by three-tenths of a point. 

The Best of the Rest | Trea Turner (+3300)

If you’re looking for a hefty payout, check out Trea Turner’s odds to win NL MVP at +3300. All it would take for Turner to claim the award is a patented Trea Turner hot streak. He could easily pass his contemporaries in WAR before October rolls around. 

Turner was putting up great numbers in Washington, and since he was traded to LA, that hasn’t changed. He’s slashing .320/.366/.513 on the season, has 87 runs scored, and 26 stolen bases. Take a chance on Trea before the hot streak begins, and his odds decrease. 

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